Šanse

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Pokušali smo da navedemo procentualne šanse za određene kombinacije karata. Ovo može poslužiti kao vodič za bolju procenu karata. Naravno nemoguće je sve to znati napamet (ili treba biti stvarno talentovan :), ali ne može da škodi, a što ne škodi koristi.

 

Dobiti par prilikom deljenja                                                                               5.88%

Dobiti AA prilikom deljenja                                                                               0.45%

Dobiti jednobojne (suited) karte pri deljenju                                                      23.53%

Dobiti flush na flop                                                                                         0.84%

ako imaš par u ruci, šanse za drill kod flopa                                                       11.76%

Ako imaš u ruci KK, šanse za A u flopu                                                             19.31%

Pobeda sa AA u slučaju dva igrača                                                                      85%

Pobeda sa AA u slučaju tri igrača                                                                        73%

AKs vs. 22                                                                                                   50.1%:49.9%

AKo vs. 22                                                                                                   47.3%:50.7%

AKs vs. QQ                                                                                                   46.4%: 53.6%

AKo vs. QQ                                                                                                   43.2%:56.8%

AA vs. KK                                                                                                     82%: 18%

 

Dole navedena tabela je sastavljena za Texas Hold'em, a pokazuje kolike su šanse da se karte poboljšaju nakon flopa:

                                                                     Turn                 River                Ukupno

Ništa-› 1 par                                                    12.76%            13.04%            24.06%

1 par -› Drill                                                     4.25%              4.34%              8.41%

2 para -›Full                                                     8.51%              8.69%             16.46%

4 jednobojne-›Flush                                           19.15%            19.56%            34.97%

3 jednobojne-›flush                                                                                         3.30%

otvoreni niz (4 karte)-›niz                                   17.02%            17.39%            31.45%

Niz od 4 karte-›niz                                             8.51%              8.69%              16.46%

AKQ(A23)-›niz                                                                                                1.48%

KQJ-›niz                                                                                                        2.22%

QJT -›niz                                                                                                       2.96%

1 par-› poker                                                                                                  0.09%

Drill -› poker                                                      2.13%              2.17%              4.25%

Drill-›Full                                                          12.76%            19.56%            29.82%

 

Sledeća tabela takođe važi za Texas Hold'em, a pokazuje kolike su šanse da se karte poboljšaju nakan flopa, ako znaš tačno koliko karata mogu da ti poboljšaju situaciju. Ako su ti potrebne dve karte ( npr. do niza nedostaju dve   unutrašnje karte) onda da bi izračunao šanse treba da pomnožiš Turn i River šanse. Dakle ako ostanemo kod prethodnog primera: kod Turn-a imaš 8 dobrih karata (17.02%), kod Rivera od 4 karte potrebno ti je da dobiješ jednu ( 8.7%). šanse da dobiješ i jedno i drugo je 1.48%

 

            Broj dobitnih karata                                  Turn                             River

                        1                                              2.13%                          2.17%

                        2                                              2.26%                          4.35%

                        3                                              6.38%                          6.52%

                        4                                              8.51%                          8.70%

                        5                                              10.64%                        10.87%

                        6                                              12.77%                        13.04%

                        7                                              14.89%                        15.22%

                        8                                              17.02%                        17.39%

                        9                                              19.15%                        19.57%

                        10                                            21.28%                        21.74%

                        11                                            23.40%                        23.91%

                        12                                            25.53%                        26.09%

                        13                                            27.66%                        28.26%

                        14                                            29.79%                        30.43%

                        15                                            31.91%                        32.61%

                        16                                            34.04%                        34.78%

                        17                                            36.17%                        36.96%

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